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They do not understand that sovereignty
in today's globalised community holds little meaning for many nations,
and even less for a country with a collapsed economy. But even worse,
as they boast disingenuously of Zimbabwe's sovereignty, they are
busy selling what little remains of it to a different coloniser
- the Chinese.
In the 1960's, when our push for independence with
majority rule began in earnest, we knew what a colony meant, and
thought we knew what sovereignty meant. A colony was a country ruled
not by its own people, but by others. Sovereignty meant being in
charge of our own fate, our own government, our own natural resources,
and our own decisions about our present and future development.
If we threw off our foreign rulers then we would be sovereign in
our own land. There were two problems with this, we discovered.
One was that in order to gain that "independence" we had
to make compromises, particularly in regard to what we could do
with private ownership of land. Secondly, although we might be politically
independent, economically we could not progress without assistance
from foreigners in the form of loans and investment.
Throughout the first twenty years of "Independence",
ZANU PF pursued an essentially western-oriented, capitalist approach
to the economy. In spite of socialist rhetoric and tight economic
controls, socialism was in no way a serious prospect. When the economy
ran into trouble at the end of the 1980's, because we could not
pay our debts, we had to depend on balance of payments support from
the IMF; being indebted meant we had to take instructions from the
lenders on how to organise our economy, and this entangled us deeper
in the tentacles of world capitalism. Indeed, we were no longer
a colony, but we were hardly sovereign in our land because we could
not choose our own policies. Too late ZANU PF realised the danger.
By the end of the 1990's with the economy contracting under structural
adjustment, ZANU's political support crumbled. They decided to renew
efforts to use land redistribution to pacify supporters and reinvigorate
the economy. But land reform still required foreign assistance and
they were frustrated by conditions placed by donors who distrusted
their corrupt, opaque and nepotistic methods. It is a fact of economic
life that the financier dictates the terms; but while in 1980 and
1990 ZANU PF had been prepared to work within the conditions, in
2000 they could see that the impositions would affect their ability
to rule by patronage. Instead they staged a governmental temper
tantrum, denounced the west, and returned to the anti-imperialist
rhetoric of the liberation struggle.
In the name of sovereignty, of not accepting dictates
from anyone, they accused the west of interfering in their internal
affairs. And then rationality flew away in the wind and they took
the breathtaking step of destroying the whole of the economy. Did
they believe that it could be rebuilt from scratch and genuine independence
would result? Had they no understanding of the painstaking work
based on experience, skill, time and financial resources required
to develop a complex economy such as was Zimbabwe's? Free from external
dictates of western governments they may now be, but it is time
to realise that economic reality can also dictate and curtail sovereignty.
When the economic dislocation began to produce serious
shortages, it became clear that ZANU PF could not "go it alone";
they had no alternative but to look for other friends. Did they
believe that the new friends would not place conditions on them,
would respect their "sovereignty"? The first choice was
Libya, because at least it could produce badly needed fuel, and
it was known to be anti-western; but Libya was not enough of a friend
to give away fuel that could not be paid for, and was just then
busy compromising its own "sovereignty" to gain acceptability
in the western world. Malaysia was initially sympathetic but had
a change of leadership, which diverted its interest in assisting
ZANU PF. Then they had to look for the player of last resort - the
Chinese.
It was not the first time that ZANU PF had turned
to China when it had no other friends. In the early 1960's, when
the nationalists decided to demand full independence, they first
thought that they could achieve it simply by negotiating with the
British government. They were not socialists and were not revolutionaries;
they were nationalists, wanting a liberal form of democracy on the
British model. But the British could not or would not deliver. The
decision to embrace armed struggle drove both ZAPU and ZANU to the
"East". ZAPU, on the scene earlier, had made contact with
the Soviet Union. ZANU was forced to make do with the Chinese version
of communism; the split between the Soviet Union and China by the
early 60's allowed them space to develop alongside the Soviet-backed
ZAPU. ZANU rapidly transformed themselves into socialists and developed
a new rhetoric to fit the need for support from China. They sacrificed
the freedom to develop their own political line in order to get
training, logistics, and political support. And increasingly Chinese
ideology seemed to make sense in their struggle to dislodge settler
colonialism.
In the 60's, ZANU needed China to assist with the
struggle to overthrow colonialism. China needed ZANU to bolster
its quarrel with the Soviets for the control of world communism.
China was itself becoming a champion of the oppressed and colonised,
in competition with the Soviet Union, and African liberation movements
provided suitable clients. The split in the Zimbabwean liberation
movement was a golden opportunity.
ZANU PF is again in desperate need of a friend. They
have clung to power in Zimbabwe in the face of clear and repeated
demonstrations that the people do not want them. They have destroyed
an already struggling economy in the name of anti-imperialism and
sovereignty. They have alienated their friends of the 1980's and
the 1990's. What better solution than to turn again to their friend
of the 1960's and 70's?
During the Cold War, China pursued interests in
independent African countries, providing assistance with projects
such as the building of the railway from Zambia to Dar es Salaam
after UDI, building roads, selling consumer goods, and distributing
thousands of free copies of Chairman Mao's "Little Red Book".
Their motive was primarily ideological. Surely they would be able
to help ZANU PF again in their hour of need, to combat a common
enemy.
But while ZANU is still thinking in the cadences
of armed revolutionary struggle against imperialism, the Chinese
have moved on. Their once underdeveloped economy is fast transforming
into a challenger to the dominant Americans, using capitalist principles
of exploitation and profit taking.
China has recreated itself in the past fifteen years.
The retention of a communist political system means little more
than complete control of the political space by the Communist Party.
Economically, they have developed capitalist production, relying
to some extent on American, Japanese and European investment, but
also on opening up to private Chinese ownership, particularly in
the manufacturing sector. Growth of the Chinese economy in the past
decade has been phenomenal, and they have reached the stage that
European capitalism reached in the 19th century. The Chinese companies
need fields for investment where they can raise capital through
super-profits, they need raw materials, and they also need markets
where they can sell the vast output from thousands of factories
that produce cheap consumer goods.
Inside China, economic development has been rapid
since the early nineties, but it is within the last five years that
it has started to have a major impact on the world economy. It is
a magnet for investment from the west, particularly the U.S.; it
has seen major population changes from rural to urban centres, huge
developments in the energy and electronics sectors and massive growth
of manufacturing as its citizens become more able to afford mass-produced
consumer goods. And as it has transformed its production from state-owned
to privately owned, it has invaded foreign markets with all kinds
of goods. Last year it joined the World Trade Organisation.
Quietly, without fanfare, China has been moving into
Africa. Africa is the one continent which still has relatively untapped
reserves, particularly of fossil fuels and minerals. Her main targets
have been Sudan, Nigeria, and Angola. China needs oil, and has been
getting it. She has been developing oilfields in Sudan and now Sudan
supplies 5% of her oil consumption. Nigeria not only has oil, but
also provides a huge market in a country where manufacturing is
not well developed. But there is no African country where China
would not like to sell her manufactured goods, particularly clothing,
shoes, hardware, electronic goods - in fact almost anything, including
as we have seen, airplanes. In just three years, from 2001 to 2004,
China's trade with Africa has more than doubled from $US10 billion
to $US 20 billion.
What could China want in Zimbabwe? We do not have
oil, our population is small compared to those of larger African
countries. Our location is not particularly strategic for an outsider.
What the Chinese want is raw materials and opportunities for investment.
They will be happy to have a share in mines, power production, anything
that can turn them a profit for a comparatively small amount of
investment. These are wanted not so much by the Chinese government,
but by individual companies. They also need an outlet for the substandard
manufactured goods that cannot be sold in the developed world, where
they sell their quality products. The Chinese government is interested
in their companies' progress, and assists them through such bodies
as the China-Africa Co-operation Forum.
For China, Zimbabwe is economic small fry, but for
ZANU PF, China is the only way out of a deep hole. ZANU PF needs
what it has thrown away from the rest of the world - investment
to get the economy going again, investment to cover the foreign
currency gap, the energy gap, the food gap, and the agricultural
production gap. But ZANU PF needs the Chinese for something more
sinister as well - perhaps it is only the Chinese who are prepared
to assist them to stay in power against the wishes of their own
people. The Chinese have ample experience in controlling restive
peoples, both their own and those they have colonised, as in Tibet.
They have no compunctions about democracy or human rights, only
a single minded obsession with control. And since their own people
do not enjoy democratic freedom of expression and participation,
they have no check on what types of regimes they support elsewhere.
ZANU PF has doubtless observed how China has been able to supply
the Sudanese government with military equipment used against their
own people and at the same time frustrate any United Nations action
against Sudan for the atrocities in Darfur.
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The Chinese government also has an interest in political alliances
that will promote China's policies world-wide. They want supporting
votes in international bodies that will protect them from scrutiny
over their human rights abuses, their non-observance of international
labour standards, not to mention violations of democratic principles
and civil rights. A state such as Zimbabwe can provide that support.
But the Chinese government is also perhaps the only
one that succeeded in destroying their own economy while yet remaining
in power. They reduced their own economy to ruins during the "Cultural
Revolution" of the 1960's and 70's, when they subdued all ideas
outside the accepted party line through extreme brutality and deliberate
breakdown of society. As communism collapsed in the Soviet Union,
they prevented the same from occurring in China by the brute force
symbolised by the massacre of hundreds in Tienanmen Square in 1989.
They probably understand what ZANU PF are trying to do, and are
quite prepared to help them do it.
So where are we at the moment in terms of engagement
with the Chinese? Our government is so secretive that it is often
difficult to have authenticated information. In terms of investment,
we have been told of their interest in Hwange colliery and electricity
generation, their interest in farming, and of possible involvement
in platinum mining. We know the government is targeting China as
a source of tourists; we also know that we have bought three commercial
airplanes for the price of two, and we have seen the Chinese busses
that are reportedly of poor quality. We have also seen the military
aircraft, the brand new army trucks and riot gear, and experienced
the effects of jamming of radio broadcasts, said to be done using
Chinese equipment.
What we do not know are the terms of engagement.
Is it true that we are paying for military equipment and commercial
aircraft with our tobacco crop, or with our natural resources? We
don't know; nor do we know the prices we are paying. We have already
seen the flood of cheap Chinese goods on the market. How do they
repatriate their profits? There are stories such as that of the
individual Chinese businessman who made enough profit in four years
of small trading to build himself a house in Dubai. Are they being
favoured in forex deals? We don't know. While we may need the investment
in key productive areas, what are we giving in exchange? One thing
we do know from our own experience is that the Chinese do not have
any concern for labour standards and exploit labour to the fullest.
Furthermore, they often do not even provide the jobs we need, preferring
to bring their own personnel to work on projects in Africa. And
their environmental awareness has been open to question even within
China, demonstrating that development takes priority, with environmental
impact far down the scale of priorities. If they have no wish to
preserve their own environment, why would they care about ours?
Recently we have seen the use of the Chinese jets,
the army trucks and riot gear in the war on the urban poor. The
use of slogans for campaigns such as "Driving out the Rubbish"
are reminiscent of Chinese campaigns during the Cultural Revolution.
Is this the beginning of an attempt, with Chinese assistance and
protection, to engineer society in a manner beneficial to ZANU PF?
It is too early to tell, but it is a frightening thought.
If we follow this policy line, where will we be in
three or fours years' time? Of course it all depends on how large
the Chinese presence looms, and how much we offer in return. Although
we could not describe the relationship between our two countries
as classic colonialism, it certainly fits the bill of late twentieth
century neo-colonialism - we invest in your economy for our own
benefit, extract the natural resources for the development of our
own industries, not yours, and sell you the products of our factories.
Such investment brings few jobs for Zimbabweans, and little benefit,
while the Chinese take their profits. That is the economic side
of it. The political side is even more sinister for the Zimbabwean
people - we provide you the means to maintain your control over
your own people when they resist your policies, and the protection
from censure in international bodies.
The Chinese know that our people do not appreciate
the relationship, but they will support an oppressive government
so that the relationship can continue to their benefit. As long
as ZANU PF remains in power they will provide them with military
equipment, even airplanes, to suppress the people's aspirations,
their right not to be arbitrarily deprived of their property, their
civil rights, even their right to make a living in the informal
sector. They will assist ZANU PF to gain total control of all information
that circulates in the country so that people may remain in ignorance.
They even know how to depopulate cities and send "unwanted
elements" to the countryside for hard labour. In spite of all
the sweet nothings mouthed at diplomatic encounters, China is no
longer the champion of African "liberation" or even of
African development. Its business deals are purely that - business,
and in competition with American business to exploit the opportunities
that Africa offers. The political deals serve their own interests
first, the ZANU PF elite second, and the Zimbabwean people not at
all.
ZANU PF seems to think that the Chinese will rescue
them and the economy. It's possible that they will, but not in the
name of sovereignty, not in the name of development and certainly
not in the name of democratic progress. They will become the new
colonisers, dictating the terms of engagement. They may bring a
distorted growth while undermining indigenous Zimbabwean development,
and depriving us of what little is left of our rights as citizens.
China will not be the champion of poor Zimbabweans, the defenders
of our nation against the grasping foreigner. China will be the
foreigner and ZANU PF the aider and abettor in the sale of our resources
and exploitation of our people. Has ZANU PF understood the price
of turning to China at this juncture? Or is no price too high to
pay for remaining in power?
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